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Survey supports Lancet estimate of Iraq death toll since
2003 invasion
1.2m Iraqi war dead,
says poll
Gabriel Carlyle
A poll of 1,461 adults in 15 of
Iraq's 18 regions indicates that
as many as 1.2 million Iraqis
have died violently because of
the conflict since the invasion
British polling agency ORB,
which has conducted polls for the
BBC and the Financial Services
Authority, asked randomly-selected adults in face-to-face interviews in
mid-August how many
members of their immediate
households had "died as a result
of the conflict (ie as a result of violence rather than a natural death
such as old age)."
16% said one family member,
5% said two family members, and
1% said three. The 2005 census
counted a total of 4m households,
leading ORB to suggest a total of
1,220,580 deaths since 2003.
The Lancet
This finding for violent deaths
supports the more rigorous estimate published in the medical
journal The Lancet in October
2006, which found that 655,000
Iraqis had died of all causes related to the invasion (including higher
rates of disease and so on).
The most violent governorate,
Anbar, was not part of either the
ORB or Lancet estimates.
Further questions in the ORB
poll discovered that 48% died
from a gunshot wound, 20% from
the impact of a car bomb, and 9%
(an estimated 116,000 people)
from aerial bombardment.
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